Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001541 0.001638 0.001738 0.001849 0.001968 0.002094 0.002236
2025-02-02 0.001426 0.001566 0.001717 0.001892 0.002089 0.002306 0.002562
2025-02-09 0.001342 0.001511 0.001698 0.001923 0.002185 0.002483 0.002850
2025-02-16 0.001308 0.001504 0.001727 0.002001 0.002331 0.002719 0.003213
2025-02-23 0.001239 0.001449 0.001693 0.002001 0.002380 0.002837 0.003437
2025-03-02 0.001152 0.001366 0.001618 0.001943 0.002351 0.002855 0.003532
2025-03-09 0.001085 0.001302 0.001564 0.001904 0.002342 0.002893 0.003650
2025-03-16 0.001042 0.001266 0.001539 0.001901 0.002374 0.002982 0.003837
2025-03-23 0.000995 0.001221 0.001501 0.001878 0.002380 0.003035 0.003976
2025-03-30 0.000957 0.001187 0.001475 0.001867 0.002398 0.003104 0.004138
2025-04-06 0.000917 0.001147 0.001438 0.001841 0.002394 0.003142 0.004257
2025-04-13 0.000877 0.001106 0.001399 0.001809 0.002379 0.003161 0.004349
2025-04-20 0.000818 0.001041 0.001329 0.001737 0.002313 0.003115 0.004356
2025-04-27 0.000807 0.001039 0.001344 0.001782 0.002412 0.003310 0.004736
2025-05-04 0.000792 0.001030 0.001347 0.001811 0.002490 0.003479 0.005088
2025-05-11 0.000792 0.001042 0.001381 0.001884 0.002636 0.003755 0.005628
2025-05-18 0.000768 0.001020 0.001365 0.001884 0.002671 0.003866 0.005910
2025-05-25 0.000729 0.000975 0.001314 0.001830 0.002623 0.003842 0.005964
2025-06-01 0.000698 0.000940 0.001277 0.001794 0.002600 0.003857 0.006084
2025-06-08 0.000679 0.000921 0.001261 0.001791 0.002626 0.003951 0.006346
2025-06-15 0.000656 0.000896 0.001235 0.001770 0.002624 0.003998 0.006527
2025-06-22 0.000637 0.000876 0.001217 0.001760 0.002637 0.004071 0.006759
2025-06-29 0.000615 0.000851 0.001191 0.001736 0.002627 0.004103 0.006918